
It's a whole new debate: not whether, but how
December 9, 1998
The bottom line of yesterday's White House Conference on Social
Security? Michael Tanner, director of Cato's Project on Social Security Privatization,
says that "the participants were asking the right questions, which is the essential
starting point for a productive debate."
"The parameters of the debate on Social Security reform have
now been set, and a consensus has been reached on the critical starting point.
Virtually all of the discussion at yesterday's White House conference centered
on individual retirement accounts and related issues. All serious economists
now concede that saving Social Security is about getting a higher rate of return
in a market environment. The devil, of course, is in the details. Precisely
how do we go about creating an investment-based system? Who will do the investing,
and where will the money come from-current payroll taxes, new taxes or voluntary
contributions?
"A few stragglers on the far-left remain in denial, unable or
unwilling to consider anything except propping up the current system by raising
taxes or cutting benefits by doing things like raising the retirement age. But
it was clear at yesterday's conference that they are an increasingly desperate
and out-of-touch minority.
"There is now only one real debate with only one logical conclusion.
It is a debate over individual accounts. Who do you trust with your money, the
government or yourself?"
"It's your money, your choice, your future."
Yesterday's White House conference; yesterday's Washington Post story
President Clinton's remarks at the White House conference on
Social Security yesterday were noncommittal, but the front-page story in the
Washington Post told the fuller story: privately owned retirement accounts will
clearly be part of whatever plan we zero in on next year. Here are some observations
from Michael Tanner, director of the Cato Project on Social Security Privatization:
"The Washington Post notes that the Clinton administration is
looking carefully at five plans, all of which 'contain the once-heretical idea
. . . of harnessing the power of equity investments' in reforming Social Security.
Of course, the idea should never have been considered 'heretical' in the first
place, since only market-based investments build genuine wealth. Our current
pay-as-you-go Social Security system does nothing but take a dollar from working
taxpayer A and give it to retiree B. Even one fan of the current system admitted
during one of this morning's panels that no one would ever try to create such
a system today. The only thing it's got going for it is momentum, and that's
no advantage if the momentum is about to take you off the edge of a cliff.
"Mr. Clinton is right to be looking at plans that embrace market
investment, but he shouldn't feel bound to endorse any particular one of them.
Rather, he should embrace good features wherever he finds them. For example,
'carve-outs' are better than 'add-ons' when it comes to individual investment
accounts. The working poor and much of the middle class simply can't afford
add-ons once 12.4 percent of their income is taken away. They must-at a minimum-be
allowed to carve-out at least part of that deduction and put it into a personally
owned account rather than into Social Security's black hole. The larger the
carve-out, the larger those people's retirement income will be. And frankly,
the logic is inexorable: larger carve-outs are better, and full privatization
is best, because it'll maximize everyone's retirement income."
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